PredictionsGETlive

Prediction market trade signals

Name: Prediction market trade signals
Brand: h402
Price: 0.0105 USD
Availability: InStock

List published prediction-market trade signals with side, lifecycle status, conviction, capacity, and the latest calibrated probability.

$0.01

per call

Success

100%

p50 latency

2.03s

p95 latency

2.40s

Calls (30d)

Provider contract

Call path: /routes/quotient/predictions/trade-signals
Method: GET
Selected provider: quotientdefault
Provider price: $0.01
Settlement: Base USDC · x402 · 5% h402 fee

Quickstart

Both commands call the selected provider directly.

cURL

curl '/routes/quotient/predictions/trade-signals?exclude_drawdown_risk=false'

CLI

h402 call 'predictions/trade-signals' --provider 'quotient' --method GET --query '{"exclude_drawdown_risk":false}'

Parameters & live test

pays real USDC

Fill the request fields, quote the exact per-call total, then choose x402 or eligible bonus credit explicitly before sending. Only the selected provider's listed parameters are accepted.

windowintegeroptional1–168

Optional lookback in hours on the latest forecast update (not signal publication). Omit to receive every live signal.

statusstringoptional

Comma-separated subset of: active, retired. Defaults to active.

e.g.

sidestringoptional

Filter by the signal's trade side.

One of

marketstringoptional

Filter by market slug.

e.g.

topicstringoptional

Case-insensitive exact Event/market tag or category name (the same taxonomy as the covered-markets topic filter). Unknown values return an empty list.

e.g.

venuestringoptional

Optional venue filter: polymarket, polymarket_us, kalshi, or limitless. Omit to include every covered venue; on legacy slug or condition-ID lookups omission keeps the Polymarket namespace.

One of

min_convictionintegeroptional1–3

Minimum conviction tier (1-3); tiers measure ensemble-draw agreement, not spread.

min_capacity_usdnumberoptional≥ 0

Minimum near-touch capacity in USD (capacity_usd_at_2c). Signals with unknown capacity pass only via the 24h-volume fallback (>= 5000).

exclude_drawdown_riskbooleanoptionaldefault false

When true, omit signals whose drawdown_risk_elevated is true. Signals with a null read (no risk-model coverage) are kept.

GET/routes/quotient/predictions/trade-signals

Request query

{
  "exclude_drawdown_risk": false
}

ResponseExample response

{
  "data": {
    "signals": [
      {
        "id": "9724a768-6282-4d62-bc8b-2ee4a5e71582",
        "created_at": "2026-09-10T02:26:21.565Z",
        "published_at": "2026-09-10T02:26:21.565Z",
        "forecast_updated_at": "2026-09-11T06:14:26.5Z",
        "is_new_today": false,
        "is_fresh": true,
        "is_active": true,
        "side": "YES",
        "entry_q": 84,
        "entry_pm": 74,
        "entry_spread_pp": 10,
        "window_days": 2,
        "resolves_in_window": true,
        "forecast_status": {
          "state": "converging",
          "cents": 3,
          "adverse_move_pct": 0.7,
          "basis": "since_forecast",
          "price_source": "live"
        },
        "retired_reason": null,
        "conviction_tier": 1,
        "conviction": "low",
        "has_band": true,
        "latest_q": 0.7508928609404482,
        "thesis": "Bitcoin has a modest cushion over $76,500 with less than a day remaining, so settlement at or above the threshold is likely.",
        "q_side": "YES",
        "q_value_cents": 75,
        "entry_cost_cents": 74,
        "current_cost_cents": 74,
        "distance_to_convergence_cents": 26
      },
      {
        "id": "85deebbe-65b2-47de-8cf5-a9d4b135172c",
        "created_at": "2026-09-10T02:26:21.565Z",
        "published_at": "2026-09-10T02:26:21.565Z",
        "forecast_updated_at": "2026-09-11T06:13:09.404Z",
        "is_new_today": false,
        "is_fresh": true,
        "is_active": true,
        "side": "YES",
        "entry_q": 77,
        "entry_pm": 66,
        "entry_spread_pp": 11,
        "window_days": 2,
        "resolves_in_window": true,
        "forecast_status": {
          "state": "converged",
          "cents": 4,
          "adverse_move_pct": 9.8,
          "basis": "since_forecast",
          "price_source": "live"
        },
        "retired_reason": null,
        "conviction_tier": 1,
        "conviction": "low",
        "has_band": true,
        "latest_q": 0.5564714498492616,
        "thesis": "Bitcoin sits just above the $77,000 threshold with little time remaining, so a settlement at or above $77,000 is narrowly favored.",
        "q_side": "NO",
        "q_value_cents": 56,
        "entry_cost_cents": 66,
        "current_cost_cents": 60,
        "distance_to_convergence_cents": 40
      },
      {
        "id": "755782ba-8ab5-4dd2-8743-a9d7b01f3208",
        "created_at": "2026-09-09T08:32:07.03Z",
        "published_at": "2026-09-09T08:32:07.03Z",
        "forecast_updated_at": "2026-09-11T06:12:33.101Z",
        "is_new_today": false,
        "is_fresh": true,
        "is_active": true,
        "side": "NO",
        "entry_q": 40,
        "entry_pm": 50,
        "entry_spread_pp": 10,
        "window_days": 3,
        "resolves_in_window": true,
        "forecast_status": {
          "state": "diverging",
          "cents": -1,
          "adverse_move_pct": 1.1,
          "basis": "since_forecast",
          "price_source": "live"
        },
        "retired_reason": null,
        "conviction_tier": 1,
        "conviction": "low",
        "has_band": true,
        "latest_q": 0.0623641457680568,
        "thesis": "Bitcoin sits below the threshold amid persistent selling and macro pressure, so reaching $79,500 on Sep 11 is a long shot.",
        "q_side": "NO",
        "q_value_cents": 94,
        "entry_cost_cents": 50,
        "current_cost_cents": 92,
        "distance_to_convergence_cents": 8
      }
    ]
  },
  "h402": {
    "routeId": "predictions/trade-signals",
    "provider": "quotient",
    "selectedCandidateId": "predictions/trade-signals/quotient",
    "routing": "manual",
    "paidBy": "x402-exact"
  }
}

Providers

Choose a provider for this task. The catalog recommends the current default from quality, reliability, and price; your selected provider stays pinned. Listed prices are provider prices; settlement adds a 5% h402 fee.

quotient

x402

100

Success: 100%
p50: 2.03s
Calls: 2

100%

$0.01$0.010/call

Last successful call: 1h ago· Aggregated by h402 — not the source provider