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Read calibrated price outlooks (p10-p90 bands, bear/base/bull scenarios, and a directional take) for commodities, crypto assets, and equities by horizon.
Both commands call the selected provider directly.
curl '/routes/quotient/predictions/asset-price-outlook'
h402 call 'predictions/asset-price-outlook' --provider 'quotient' --method GET
Fill the request fields, quote the exact per-call total, then choose x402 or eligible bonus credit explicitly before sending. Only the selected provider's listed parameters are accepted.
assetstringoptionalOptional asset filter: a key tail such as wti, gold, btc, or nvda, or a full assetKey such as commodity:wti. Unknown values return an empty series list.
anchorstringoptionalOptional anchor-cadence filter. The cadence set is open; unknown values return an empty series list.
asset_classstringoptionalOptional asset-class filter: commodity, crypto, or equity (company is accepted as an alias for equity). The class set is open; unknown values return an empty series list.
{ "data": { "as_of": "2026-09-11T06:15:18.491Z", "contract": "asset-price/1", "filters": { "asset": null, "anchor": null, "asset_class": "crypto" }, "series_count": 8, "series": [ { "series_id": "crypto:btc:price-outlook:daily", "asset_key": "crypto:btc", "asset_class": "crypto", "anchor_type": "daily", "display_name": "Bitcoin — Daily · to Sep 11", "venue": "kalshi", "contributing_venues": [ "kalshi" ], "venue_series": "KXBTCD", "observable": "terminal_close", "mode": "signal", "mode_reason": "terminal_venue_ladder", "headline": "Bitcoin", "maturity": "experimental", "is_primary_horizon": true, "basis_groups": [ { "source": "basis-head", "basis_id": "bridge:sha256:d59e17c3866b80c541a4736bab3679c9b4faaa7c8f40f60ae2636d1c6972b904", "target_family_key": "bridge:sha256:d59e17c3866b80c541a4736bab3679c9b4faaa7c8f40f60ae2636d1c6972b904", "forecast_target_keys": [], "forecast_target_key": null, "resolution_reference": { "schema_version": "1", "basis_id": "bridge:sha256:d59e17c3866b80c541a4736bab3679c9b4faaa7c8f40f60ae2636d1c6972b904", "settlement_spec_id": null, "forecast_target_key": null, "observable_id": "sha256:284471cd62fc316ffa0dfec4d3c7752132da70507a9717a3b23eb557240fddf1", "provider": "kalshi-settlement", "instrument_id": "KXBTCD", "symbol": "KXBTCD", "contract_month": null, "roll_rule": null, "unit": "quote-per-unit", "currency": "USD", "price_field": "settle", "candle_interval": null, "session": null, "window": "close", "timezone": null, "rounding": null, "value": 77077.7013343078, "value_kind": "estimated", "estimate": { "provider": "quotient-basis", "method": "settled-print-ewma/1", "ci_low": 76699.94795849304, "ci_high": 77457.31517569964, "inputs_at": "2026-09-10T21:00:00Z", "estimate_version": "sha256:e0546e3cbd7145f089dd06f90294e95b4af49ea79ab7bae2040ac246c9f49ea8" }, "provider_timestamp": null, "source_timestamp": null, "observed_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:29.717835+00:00", "freshness": "verified" }, "reference_quote": { "schema_version": "1", "observation_id": null, "basis_id": "bridge:sha256:d59e17c3866b80c541a4736bab3679c9b4faaa7c8f40f60ae2636d1c6972b904", "observable_id": "sha256:284471cd62fc316ffa0dfec4d3c7752132da70507a9717a3b23eb557240fddf1", "value": 77077.7013343078, "value_kind": "estimated", "estimate": { "provider": "quotient-basis", "method": "settled-print-ewma/1", "ci_low": 76699.94795849304, "ci_high": 77457.31517569964, "inputs_at": "2026-09-10T21:00:00Z", "estimate_version": "sha256:e0546e3cbd7145f089dd06f90294e95b4af49ea79ab7bae2040ac246c9f49ea8" }, "provider_timestamp": null, "source_timestamp": null, "observed_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:29.717835+00:00", "freshness": "verified", "confidence": null, "publisher": "quotient-basis", "collection_transport": null }, "execution_reference": { "schema_version": "1", "basis_id": "sha256:f9d5ffd9409636486eafaa9b610b6bd5648edcb519051333e245de0740e38dab", "settlement_spec_id": null, "forecast_target_key": null, "observable_id": "sha256:90ad65f5d5e845b2a88da6be86d7b24b72cd7bcf90d78c98b98f93028cbf88f2", "provider": "hyperliquid", "instrument_id": "BTC", "symbol": "BTC", "contract_month": null, "roll_rule": null, "unit": "quote-per-unit", "currency": "USD", "price_field": "mid", "candle_interval": null, "session": "continuous", "window": "point", "timezone": "UTC", "rounding": null, "value": 77075.5, "value_kind": "observed", "estimate": null, "provider_timestamp": null, "source_timestamp": null, "observed_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:34.527951+00:00", "freshness": "verified" }, "basis_gap": { "settlement_value": 77077.7013343078, "settlement_value_kind": "estimated", "execution_value": 77075.5, "absolute": -2.201334307799698, "percentage": -0.000028559937176277326, "observed_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:34.527951+00:00" }, "feed_basis": { "venue": "kalshi", "gap_log": 0.000028560345019156543, "gap_pct": 0.000028560752869693126, "sigma_log": 0.002506628274631001, "observation_count": 26, "method": "settled-print-ewma/1", "as_of": "2026-09-11T00:15:59.222402Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-10T21:00:00Z" }, "basis_status": "verified", "grounding_status": "estimated", "suppression_reason": null, "outlook": { "outlook_id": "po:pbh:1e1992ef3ac65bb6f03f3ad6ce7b4645fd7454c948461180e04b32bf8543e1ab:2026-09-11:ad418704103bb56d:eed397f886dc889e", "anchor_date": "2026-09-11", "anchor_at": "2026-09-11T21:00:00Z", "window_start_at": null, "horizon_days": 0.6454893769097222, "status": "active", "state": null, "side": null, "strength": null, "lean_side": null, "lean_sigma": null, "revision": 10, "revisions": 10, "median_price": 77014.93930238567, "p10": 74982.66370088168, "p25": 76061.53404484231, "p75": 77953.78193544106, "p90": 79099.11404404962, "scenarios": { "downside_tail": { "percentile": 0.1, "price": 74982.66370088168, "return_pct": -0.027180852531387138 }, "bear_case": { "percentile": 0.25, "price": 76061.53404484231, "return_pct": -0.013183674031197246 }, "base_case": { "percentile": 0.5, "price": 77014.93930238567, "return_pct": -0.0008142696374651148 }, "bull_case": { "percentile": 0.75, "price": 77953.78193544106, "return_pct": 0.01136620041811387 }, "upside_tail": { "percentile": 0.9, "price": 79099.11404404962, "return_pct": 0.026225648595491705 } }, "directional_take": { "side": "bearish", "strength": "lean", "label": "Leans bearish", "score_sigma": -0.05307695579447656, "payoff_balance": -0.06229534946883567, "probability_above_spot": 0.4831925795744333, "expected_price": 77021.10912701607, "expected_return_pct": -0.0007342228207646295, "expected_log_return": -0.0008896528827336799, "expected_upside_log": 0.0066957778759646185, "expected_downside_log": 0.007585430758698298, "range_status": "unknown", "truncated_percentiles": [], "method": "published_percentiles", "version": "directional-take/1-published-quantiles", "is_price_signal": false }, "spot_at_obs": 77077.7013343078, "spot_gap_pct": -0.0008142696374651148, "spot_gap_sigma": -0.04859935812071935, "spot_aligned": null, "sigma_diffusive": 0.016761565719378757 }, "provenance": { "source_type": null, "source_id": "po:pbh:1e1992ef3ac65bb6f03f3ad6ce7b4645fd7454c948461180e04b32bf8543e1ab:2026-09-11:ad418704103bb56d:eed397f886dc889e", "input_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:29.717835Z", "model_version": null, "config_version": "price-outlook/8", "evidence_epoch": null, "input_hash": "eed397f886dc889e5946f83d1b94786bccaee3e6e9eeb056d5e15663f3bf6102", "forecast_target_key": null, "basis_id": "bridge:sha256:d59e17c3866b80c541a4736bab3679c9b4faaa7c8f40f60ae2636d1c6972b904" }, "price_signals": [], "contributing_venues": [ "kalshi" ] }, { "source": "basis-head", "basis_id": "sha256:f9d5ffd9409636486eafaa9b610b6bd5648edcb519051333e245de0740e38dab", "target_family_key": "sha256:f9d5ffd9409636486eafaa9b610b6bd5648edcb519051333e245de0740e38dab", "forecast_target_keys": [], "forecast_target_key": null, "resolution_reference": { "schema_version": "1", "basis_id": "sha256:f9d5ffd9409636486eafaa9b610b6bd5648edcb519051333e245de0740e38dab", "settlement_spec_id": null, "forecast_target_key": null, "observable_id": "sha256:90ad65f5d5e845b2a88da6be86d7b24b72cd7bcf90d78c98b98f93028cbf88f2", "provider": "hyperliquid", "instrument_id": "BTC", "symbol": "BTC", "contract_month": null, "roll_rule": null, "unit": "quote-per-unit", "currency": "USD", "price_field": "mid", "candle_interval": null, "session": "continuous", "window": "point", "timezone": "UTC", "rounding": null, "value": 77075.5, "value_kind": "observed", "estimate": null, "provider_timestamp": null, "source_timestamp": null, "observed_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:34.527951+00:00", "freshness": "verified" }, "reference_quote": { "schema_version": "1", "observation_id": null, "basis_id": "sha256:f9d5ffd9409636486eafaa9b610b6bd5648edcb519051333e245de0740e38dab", "observable_id": "sha256:90ad65f5d5e845b2a88da6be86d7b24b72cd7bcf90d78c98b98f93028cbf88f2", "value": 77075.5, "value_kind": "observed", "estimate": null, "provider_timestamp": null, "source_timestamp": null, "observed_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:34.527951+00:00", "freshness": "verified", "confidence": null, "publisher": null, "collection_transport": "hyperliquid-allMids" }, "execution_reference": { "schema_version": "1", "basis_id": "sha256:f9d5ffd9409636486eafaa9b610b6bd5648edcb519051333e245de0740e38dab", "settlement_spec_id": null, "forecast_target_key": null, "observable_id": "sha256:90ad65f5d5e845b2a88da6be86d7b24b72cd7bcf90d78c98b98f93028cbf88f2", "provider": "hyperliquid", "instrument_id": "BTC", "symbol": "BTC", "contract_month": null, "roll_rule": null, "unit": "quote-per-unit", "currency": "USD", "price_field": "mid", "candle_interval": null, "session": "continuous", "window": "point", "timezone": "UTC", "rounding": null, "value": 77075.5, "value_kind": "observed", "estimate": null, "provider_timestamp": null, "source_timestamp": null, "observed_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:34.527951+00:00", "freshness": "verified" }, "basis_gap": { "settlement_value": 77075.5, "settlement_value_kind": "observed", "execution_value": 77075.5, "absolute": 0, "percentage": 0, "observed_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:34.527951+00:00" }, "feed_basis": { "venue": "kalshi", "gap_log": 0.000028560345019156543, "gap_pct": 0.000028560752869693126, "sigma_log": 0.002506628274631001, "observation_count": 26, "method": "settled-print-ewma/1", "as_of": "2026-09-11T00:15:59.222402Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-10T21:00:00Z" }, "basis_status": "verified", "grounding_status": "actionable", "suppression_reason": null, "outlook": { "outlook_id": "po:crypto:btc:price-outlook:daily:2026-09-11:ad418704103bb56d:ffc0f748b6910f05", "anchor_date": "2026-09-11", "anchor_at": "2026-09-11T21:00:00Z", "window_start_at": null, "horizon_days": 0.6454893769097222, "status": "active", "state": "neutral", "side": null, "strength": null, "lean_side": null, "lean_sigma": null, "revision": 10, "revisions": 10, "median_price": 77012.73976055755, "p10": 75221.77492442315, "p25": 76188.06368800934, "p75": 77819.87461646835, "p90": 78843.17402331541, "scenarios": { "downside_tail": { "percentile": 0.1, "price": 75221.77492442315, "return_pct": -0.02405076938296669 }, "bear_case": { "percentile": 0.25, "price": 76188.06368800934, "return_pct": -0.01151385734754451 }, "base_case": { "percentile": 0.5, "price": 77012.73976055755, "return_pct": -0.0008142696374651148 }, "bull_case": { "percentile": 0.75, "price": 77819.87461646835, "return_pct": 0.00965773321572172 }, "upside_tail": { "percentile": 0.9, "price": 78843.17402331541, "return_pct": 0.02293431795207823 } }, "directional_take": { "side": "neutral", "strength": "neutral", "label": "Neutral", "score_sigma": 0.003404048155661597, "payoff_balance": 0.004063378038324095, "probability_above_spot": 0.47513203869140885, "expected_price": 77093.68283666694, "expected_return_pct": 0.0002359094221502378, "expected_log_return": 0.00005705717687305191, "expected_upside_log": 0.007049432911749826, "expected_downside_log": 0.006992375734876774, "range_status": "complete", "truncated_percentiles": [], "method": "full_quantile_curve", "version": "directional-take/2", "is_price_signal": false }, "spot_at_obs": 77075.5, "spot_gap_pct": -0.0008142696374651148, "spot_gap_sigma": -0.04859935812071935, "spot_aligned": null, "sigma_diffusive": 0.016761565719378757 }, "provenance": { "source_type": null, "source_id": "po:crypto:btc:price-outlook:daily:2026-09-11:ad418704103bb56d:ffc0f748b6910f05", "input_at": "2026-09-11T05:30:29.717835Z", "model_version": null, "config_version": "price-outlook/8", "evidence_epoch": null, "input_hash": "ffc0f748b6910f05ed2309187da27573c0a0702dbab7d75f39be37181a91ef8c", "forecast_target_key": null, "basis_id": "sha256:f9d5ffd9409636486eafaa9b610b6bd5648edcb519051333e245de0740e38dab" }, "price_signals": [], "contributing_venues": [ "kalshi" ] } ], "outlook": { "outlook_id": "po:crypto:btc:price-outlook:daily:2026-09-11:ad418704103bb56d:ffc0f748b6910f05", "anchor_date": "2026-09-11", "anchor_at": "2026-09-11T21:00:00Z", "window_start_at": null, "horizon_days": 0.6454893769097222, "status": "active", "state": "neutral", "side": null, "strength": null, "lean_side": null, "lean_sigma": null, "revision": 10, "revisions": 10, "median_price": 77012.73976055755, "p10": 75221.77492442315, "p25": 76188.06368800934, "p75": 77819.87461646835, "p90": 78843.17402331541, "scenarios": { "downside_tail": { "percentile": 0.1, "price": 75221.77492442315, "return_pct": -0.02405076938296669 }, "bear_case": { "percentile": 0.25, "price": 76188.06368800934, "return_pct": -0.01151385734754451 }, "base_case": { "percentile": 0.5, "price": 77012.73976055755, "return_pct": -0.0008142696374651148 }, "bull_case": { "percentile": 0.75, "price": 77819.87461646835, "return_pct": 0.00965773321572172 }, "upside_tail": { "percentile": 0.9, "price": 78843.17402331541, "return_pct": 0.02293431795207823 } }, "directional_take": { "side": "neutral", "strength": "neutral", "label": "Neutral", "score_sigma": 0.003404048155661597, "payoff_balance": 0.004063378038324095, "probability_above_spot": 0.47513203869140885, "expected_price": 77093.68283666694, "expected_return_pct": 0.0002359094221502378, "expected_log_return": 0.00005705717687305191, "expected_upside_log": 0.007049432911749826, "expected_downside_log": 0.006992375734876774, "range_status": "complete", "truncated_percentiles": [], "method": "full_quantile_curve", "version": "directional-take/2", "is_price_signal": false }, "spot_at_obs": 77075.5, "spot_gap_pct": -0.0008142696374651148, "spot_gap_sigma": -0.04859935812071935, "spot_aligned": null, "sigma_diffusive": 0.016761565719378757 }, "spot_at_obs": 77075.5, "price_signals": [] }, { "series_id": "crypto:btc:price-outlook:monthly", "asset_key": "crypto:btc", "asset_class": "crypto", "anchor_type": "monthly", "display_name": "Bitcoin — Monthly · to Sep 30", "venue": "kalshi", "contributing_venues": [ "kalshi" ], "venue_series": "KXBTCMAXMON", "observable": "terminal_close", "mode": "signal", "mode_reason": "q_projection_vs_spot", "headline": "Bitcoin", "maturity": "experimental", "is_primary_horizon": false, "basis_groups": [ { "source": "basis-head", "basis_id": "bridge:sha256:d59e17c3866b80c541a4736bab3679c9b4faaa7c8f40f60ae2636d1c6972b904", "target_family_key": "bridge:sha256:d59e17c3866b80c541a4736bab3679c9b4faaa7c8f40f60ae2636d1c6972b904", "forecast_target_keys": [], "forecast_target_key": null, "resolution_reference": { "schema_version": "1", "basis_id": "bridge:sha256:d59e17c3866b80c541a4736bab3679c9b4faaa7c8f40f60ae2636d1c6972b904", "settlement_spec_id": null, "forecast_target_key": null, "observable_id": "sha256:21bd7f24dcad6505d65847cc38abb094c941ad5efd3f396ba21eb36ebedcdd3d", "provider": "kalshi-settlement", "instrument_id": "KXBTCMAXMON", "symbol": "KXBTCMAXMON", "contract_month": null, "roll_rule": null, "unit": "quote-per-unit", "currency": "USD", "price_field": "settle", "candle_interval": null, "session": null, "window": "close", "timezone": null, "rounding": null, "value": 78057.49346376266, "value_kind": "estimated", "estimate": { "provider": "quotient-basis", "method": "settled-print-ewma/1", "ci_low": 77674.93818314155, "ci_high": 78441.93285972589, "inputs_at": "2026-08-25T21:00:00Z", "estimate_version": "sha256:1ddb90cd36a11401d6bea1ac2c79c04ef92bf7ef6dd491de80fa3c28ecba8d59" }, "provider_timestamp": null, "source_timestamp": null, "observed_at": "2026-08-30T04:30:40.102109+00:00", "freshness": "verified" }, "reference_quote": { "schema_version": "1", "observation_id": null, "basis_id": "bridge:sha256:d59e17c3866b80c541a4736bab3679c9b4faaa7c8f40f60ae2636d1c6972b904", "observable_id": "sha256:21bd7f24dcad6505d65847cc38abb094c941ad5efd3f396ba21eb36ebedcdd3d", "value": 78057.49346376266, "value_kind": "estimated", "estimate": { "provider": "quotient-basis", "method": 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"manual", "paidBy": "x402-exact" } }
Choose a provider for this task. The catalog recommends the current default from quality, reliability, and price; your selected provider stays pinned. Listed prices are provider prices; settlement adds a 5% h402 fee.